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Red68
260923.9
368326.8
808910.1
Blue66
406914.7
490322.5
63239.3
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6645204060801006866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.1
26.226.4
Auto7.0
Teleop12.3
End7.4
red by 4.3
22.50.6
21.822.5
Auto6.1
Teleop5.4
End10.9
Second
23.90.1
23.423.5
Auto7.4
Teleop7.3
End9.3
red by 9.2
14.70.6
14.114.7
Auto5.1
Teleop6.5
End3.1
Third
8089
#17
10.10.1
9.69.7
Auto1.6
Teleop5.0
End3.4
red by 0.8
6323
#12
9.30.5
8.89.3
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End3.0