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Red126
220041.4
490734.6
111425.6
Blue103
467843.6
540636.3
491720.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1061046080120140160180126103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.40.5
40.741.2
Auto10.4
Teleop20.3
End10.7
blue by 2.2
43.60.1
43.143.0
Auto12.7
Teleop18.4
End12.5
Second
34.60.7
33.734.4
Auto10.0
Teleop16.7
End7.9
blue by 1.6
36.30.1
35.635.5
Auto10.0
Teleop16.6
End9.6
Third
1114
#11
25.60.7
24.725.4
Auto5.8
Teleop17.8
End1.9
red by 5.5
20.10.1
19.419.3
Auto4.3
Teleop6.5
End9.3