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Red97
467843.6
540636.3
491720.1
Blue97
205643.5
61025.6
406921.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10894501509797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.60.4
43.543.1
Auto12.7
Teleop18.4
End12.5
red by 0.1
43.50.0
43.543.5
Auto14.3
Teleop21.2
End8.0
Second
36.30.6
36.235.6
Auto10.0
Teleop16.6
End9.6
red by 10.7
610
#4
25.60.0
25.625.6
Auto8.0
Teleop12.2
End5.4
Third
20.10.6
20.019.4
Auto4.3
Teleop6.5
End9.3
blue by 1.0
4069
#10
21.00.0
21.121.0
Auto6.7
Teleop6.5
End7.8