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Red80
461710.7
124136.3
540636.3
Blue49
220041.4
40158.4
491720.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6276020401001201401608049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.30.8
24.925.6
Auto12.4
Teleop21.3
End2.6
blue by 5.1
41.41.9
40.738.8
Auto10.4
Teleop20.3
End10.7
Second
36.31.3
23.925.2
Auto10.0
Teleop16.6
End9.6
red by 16.2
20.13.2
18.014.8
Auto4.3
Teleop6.5
End9.3
Third
4617
#13
10.71.3
11.412.8
Auto5.8
Teleop2.8
End2.1
red by 2.4
4015
#16
8.41.9
10.99.0
Auto2.4
Teleop2.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
33%Cargo oddsEarned62%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed52%Hangar oddsMissed