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Red103
205643.5
13346.9
406921.0
Blue102
447640.9
490734.6
687514.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50770204060100120140103102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.55.4
29.534.9
Auto14.3
Teleop21.2
End8.0
red by 2.6
40.91.7
36.237.9
Auto10.5
Teleop18.2
End12.2
Second
4069
#10
21.03.2
15.018.2
Auto6.7
Teleop6.5
End7.8
blue by 13.6
34.62.8
21.624.5
Auto10.0
Teleop16.7
End7.9
Third
1334
#17
6.93.2
6.19.3
Auto3.4
Teleop1.7
End1.9
blue by 7.2
6875
#12
14.12.8
10.813.6
Auto3.7
Teleop6.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsEarned53%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsEarned46%Hangar oddsEarned