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Red80
205643.5
687514.1
77217.1
Blue101
447640.9
78111.0
467843.6
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53105015080101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.52.2
27.329.5
Auto14.3
Teleop21.2
End8.0
blue by 0.1
43.60.6
43.243.8
Auto12.7
Teleop18.4
End12.5
Second
772
#14
17.12.2
20.222.4
Auto6.0
Teleop8.9
End2.2
blue by 23.8
40.90.6
35.636.2
Auto10.5
Teleop18.2
End12.2
Third
6875
#12
14.12.2
8.610.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.5
End4.0
red by 3.1
781
#15
11.01.0
13.114.1
Auto5.0
Teleop1.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
48%Cargo oddsEarned72%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed80%Hangar oddsEarned