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Red69
461710.7
406921.0
491720.1
Blue25
687514.1
77217.1
78111.0
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47622040801001206925

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4069
#10
21.01.0
20.021.0
Auto6.7
Teleop6.5
End7.8
red by 3.9
772
#14
17.13.4
19.716.3
Auto6.0
Teleop8.9
End2.2
Second
20.11.7
14.316.0
Auto4.3
Teleop6.5
End9.3
red by 5.9
6875
#12
14.13.4
19.215.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.5
End4.0
Third
4617
#13
10.71.7
11.413.1
Auto5.8
Teleop2.8
End2.1
blue by 0.3
781
#15
11.03.4
17.013.5
Auto5.0
Teleop1.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsMissed46%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
60%Hangar oddsEarned34%Hangar oddsMissed