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Red116
490734.6
220041.4
467843.6
Blue66
447640.9
40158.4
111425.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1255905010015011666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.60.4
44.745.2
Auto12.7
Teleop18.4
End12.5
red by 2.7
40.90.2
39.739.5
Auto10.5
Teleop18.2
End12.2
Second
41.40.4
37.337.7
Auto10.4
Teleop20.3
End10.7
red by 15.8
1114
#11
25.60.3
17.216.9
Auto5.8
Teleop17.8
End1.9
Third
34.60.7
27.228.0
Auto10.0
Teleop16.7
End7.9
red by 26.3
4015
#16
8.40.2
7.47.3
Auto2.4
Teleop2.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsEarned40%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
75%Hangar oddsEarned46%Hangar oddsMissed