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Red90
61025.6
205643.5
13346.9
Blue110
540636.3
124136.3
111425.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7783406010012014090110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.51.4
41.242.6
Auto14.3
Teleop21.2
End8.0
red by 7.2
36.32.2
29.331.5
Auto12.4
Teleop21.3
End2.6
Second
610
#4
25.60.8
25.726.5
Auto8.0
Teleop12.2
End5.4
blue by 10.7
36.33.6
31.234.8
Auto10.0
Teleop16.6
End9.6
Third
1334
#17
6.90.8
6.67.4
Auto3.4
Teleop1.7
End1.9
blue by 18.7
1114
#11
25.63.4
16.920.3
Auto5.8
Teleop17.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
43%Cargo oddsEarned69%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsEarned