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Red109
490734.6
491720.1
205643.5
Blue107
13346.9
447640.9
124136.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9482204060120140160109107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.51.5
42.644.1
Auto14.3
Teleop21.2
End8.0
red by 2.6
40.91.1
39.540.6
Auto10.5
Teleop18.2
End12.2
Second
34.61.5
28.029.5
Auto10.0
Teleop16.7
End7.9
blue by 1.6
36.31.1
31.532.6
Auto12.4
Teleop21.3
End2.6
Third
20.11.5
16.017.5
Auto4.3
Teleop6.5
End9.3
red by 13.2
1334
#17
6.91.1
7.48.5
Auto3.4
Teleop1.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
58%Cargo oddsEarned56%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
67%Hangar oddsEarned46%Hangar oddsEarned