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Red106
406921.0
220041.4
447640.9
Blue83
77217.1
467843.6
61025.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108915010015010683

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.40.4
37.738.2
Auto10.4
Teleop20.3
End10.7
blue by 2.2
43.60.6
45.244.6
Auto12.7
Teleop18.4
End12.5
Second
40.90.4
40.641.1
Auto10.5
Teleop18.2
End12.2
red by 15.3
610
#4
25.60.6
26.325.8
Auto8.0
Teleop12.2
End5.4
Third
4069
#10
21.00.4
21.021.5
Auto6.7
Teleop6.5
End7.8
red by 3.9
772
#14
17.10.9
16.315.4
Auto6.0
Teleop8.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
91%Cargo oddsEarned85%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
86%Hangar oddsEarned67%Hangar oddsEarned