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Red84
687514.1
406921.0
205643.5
Blue104
111425.6
124136.3
491720.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions877320406010012014016084104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.50.4
44.143.7
Auto14.3
Teleop21.2
End8.0
red by 7.2
36.32.0
32.634.6
Auto12.4
Teleop21.3
End2.6
Second
4069
#10
21.00.3
21.521.2
Auto6.7
Teleop6.5
End7.8
blue by 4.5
1114
#11
25.62.9
20.323.2
Auto5.8
Teleop17.8
End1.9
Third
6875
#12
14.10.4
14.514.1
Auto3.7
Teleop6.5
End4.0
blue by 5.9
20.12.9
17.520.3
Auto4.3
Teleop6.5
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
78%Cargo oddsEarned52%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsEarned57%Hangar oddsMissed