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Red58
78111.0
467843.6
13346.9
Blue109
77217.1
540636.3
220041.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions669820408012014016058109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.60.8
44.643.8
Auto12.7
Teleop18.4
End12.5
red by 2.2
41.41.4
38.239.6
Auto10.4
Teleop20.3
End10.7
Second
781
#15
11.01.2
13.212.0
Auto5.0
Teleop1.9
End4.1
blue by 25.3
36.32.0
34.536.5
Auto10.0
Teleop16.6
End9.6
Third
1334
#17
6.90.8
8.57.7
Auto3.4
Teleop1.7
End1.9
blue by 10.2
772
#14
17.12.0
15.417.4
Auto6.0
Teleop8.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
45%Cargo oddsMissed87%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsMissed62%Hangar oddsEarned