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Red97
124136.3
447640.9
77217.1
Blue114
220041.4
490734.6
111425.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102101809011012013014097114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.90.0
41.141.1
Auto10.5
Teleop18.2
End12.2
blue by 0.5
41.40.3
39.639.9
Auto10.4
Teleop20.3
End10.7
Second
36.30.0
36.536.5
Auto12.4
Teleop21.3
End2.6
red by 1.6
34.60.4
32.232.7
Auto10.0
Teleop16.7
End7.9
Third
772
#14
17.10.1
17.417.4
Auto6.0
Teleop8.9
End2.2
blue by 8.4
1114
#11
25.60.4
23.223.6
Auto5.8
Teleop17.8
End1.9