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Red89
124136.3
447640.9
77217.1
Blue144
220041.4
490734.6
111425.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10110340608012014016018089144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.90.2
41.140.9
Auto10.5
Teleop18.2
End12.2
blue by 0.5
41.40.8
39.940.7
Auto10.4
Teleop20.3
End10.7
Second
36.30.2
36.536.3
Auto12.4
Teleop21.3
End2.6
red by 1.6
34.61.1
32.733.7
Auto10.0
Teleop16.7
End7.9
Third
772
#14
17.10.3
17.417.1
Auto6.0
Teleop8.9
End2.2
blue by 8.4
1114
#11
25.61.1
23.624.7
Auto5.8
Teleop17.8
End1.9