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Red95
467843.6
540636.3
491720.1
Blue102
205643.5
61025.6
406921.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109955015020095102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.60.2
43.843.6
Auto12.7
Teleop18.4
End12.5
red by 0.1
43.50.2
43.743.9
Auto14.3
Teleop21.2
End8.0
Second
36.30.3
36.536.2
Auto10.0
Teleop16.6
End9.6
red by 10.7
610
#4
25.60.2
25.825.9
Auto8.0
Teleop12.2
End5.4
Third
20.10.3
20.320.0
Auto4.3
Teleop6.5
End9.3
blue by 1.0
4069
#10
21.00.2
21.221.4
Auto6.7
Teleop6.5
End7.8