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Red74
491724.5
111439.1
80899.0
Blue39
494619.0
316111.1
401511.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6525040801001201407439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.11.6
25.627.2
Auto11.5
Teleop19.4
End8.2
red by 20.1
19.00.9
11.412.3
Auto5.0
Teleop6.1
End7.9
Second
24.51.6
20.121.7
Auto5.9
Teleop6.6
End12.0
red by 13.3
4015
#13
11.20.7
8.49.1
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End2.8
Third
8089
#15
9.01.6
10.111.7
Auto1.7
Teleop3.0
End4.3
blue by 2.1
11.10.9
8.89.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.4
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
36%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsEarned15%Hangar oddsMissed