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Red100
356017.1
205654.7
857411.8
Blue98
403936.7
124141.0
46178.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6586204010012014016018010098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.72.5
43.546.0
Auto15.8
Teleop27.6
End11.4
red by 13.8
41.00.5
36.336.8
Auto15.6
Teleop22.4
End3.0
Second
17.11.9
10.011.9
Auto5.6
Teleop5.5
End6.1
blue by 19.6
36.70.7
29.330.0
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End8.3
Third
8574
#12
11.82.5
10.613.1
Auto4.6
Teleop4.1
End3.1
red by 3.0
4617
#16
8.80.5
12.913.4
Auto4.2
Teleop4.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
71%Cargo oddsEarned80%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsEarned30%Hangar oddsMissed