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Red63
876512.2
356017.1
111439.1
Blue48
491724.5
857411.8
613517.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555340506070806348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.10.8
32.132.8
Auto11.5
Teleop19.4
End8.2
red by 14.7
24.50.4
21.521.1
Auto5.9
Teleop6.6
End12.0
Second
17.10.8
11.812.6
Auto5.6
Teleop5.5
End6.1
red by 0.1
6135
#10
17.00.4
18.017.6
Auto5.0
Teleop9.6
End2.4
Third
12.21.3
7.68.9
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End4.6
red by 0.3
8574
#12
11.80.4
10.39.9
Auto4.6
Teleop4.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
30%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsEarned55%Hangar oddsMissed