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Red70
494619.0
356017.1
502417.4
Blue108
124141.0
403936.7
401511.2
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35840206010012014070108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.01.5
12.714.2
Auto5.0
Teleop6.1
End7.9
blue by 22.0
41.02.1
35.637.7
Auto15.6
Teleop22.4
End3.0
Second
5024
#11
17.41.5
14.115.6
Auto6.4
Teleop5.6
End5.4
blue by 19.3
36.72.1
30.232.3
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End8.3
Third
17.11.5
12.614.1
Auto5.6
Teleop5.5
End6.1
red by 5.9
4015
#13
11.22.1
7.09.1
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed69%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsEarned33%Hangar oddsMissed