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Red75
132539.5
403939.1
87658.2
Blue98
124140.6
540932.0
762313.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions959070801001101201307598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.50.4
40.239.8
Auto11.5
Teleop18.7
End9.3
blue by 1.1
40.60.2
40.340.5
Auto13.9
Teleop24.3
End2.4
Second
39.10.4
39.839.4
Auto11.4
Teleop20.7
End7.0
red by 7.2
32.00.2
31.731.9
Auto7.8
Teleop18.2
End5.9
Third
8765
#17
8.20.4
8.88.4
Auto2.5
Teleop2.4
End3.2
blue by 5.4
13.60.3
13.213.5
Auto4.6
Teleop5.5
End3.5