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Red97
132539.5
403939.1
87658.2
Blue102
124140.6
540932.0
762313.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9491708010011012097102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.50.2
39.839.5
Auto11.5
Teleop18.7
End9.3
blue by 1.1
40.60.1
40.540.6
Auto13.9
Teleop24.3
End2.4
Second
39.10.2
39.439.1
Auto11.4
Teleop20.7
End7.0
red by 7.2
32.00.1
31.932.0
Auto7.8
Teleop18.2
End5.9
Third
8765
#17
8.20.2
8.48.2
Auto2.5
Teleop2.4
End3.2
blue by 5.4
13.60.1
13.513.6
Auto4.6
Teleop5.5
End3.5