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Red80
132539.5
31619.4
762313.6
Blue19
85749.6
137410.7
88675.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions692104060801001208019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.51.2
35.736.8
Auto11.5
Teleop18.7
End9.3
red by 28.8
1374
#10
10.70.4
9.79.3
Auto4.6
Teleop4.6
End1.5
Second
13.61.9
13.315.3
Auto4.6
Teleop5.5
End3.5
red by 4.0
8574
#15
9.60.4
11.110.7
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End2.6
Third
3161
#16
9.41.2
9.710.9
Auto4.3
Teleop3.4
End1.7
red by 4.0
8867
#14
5.40.4
4.94.4
Auto2.0
Teleop0.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
47%Cargo oddsEarned22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsEarned16%Hangar oddsMissed