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Red50
50369.2
78113.3
91414.6
Blue51
765912.9
88847.9
697816.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373720304050605051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
914
#7
14.60.8
14.014.7
Auto4.2
Teleop5.6
End4.8
blue by 1.5
16.10.5
15.315.8
Auto4.2
Teleop8.0
End3.9
Second
781
#11
13.30.8
11.312.1
Auto4.9
Teleop4.2
End4.1
red by 0.4
7659
#12
12.90.5
13.614.2
Auto2.6
Teleop7.5
End2.7
Third
5036
#18
9.20.8
9.210.0
Auto3.5
Teleop2.5
End3.1
red by 1.3
8884
#13
7.90.5
6.16.6
Auto2.5
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsEarned13%Hangar oddsMissed