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Quarterfinal 3-22022 FIRST Ontario Provincial Championship
Red106
124145.3
540939.1
238618.0
Blue138
368336.2
467844.1
61025.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108113050150200250300350106138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
#11
45.30.0
45.3→45.3
Auto14.6
Teleop27.0
End3.6
red by 1.2
4678
#8
44.10.4
44.2→44.7
Auto14.6
Teleop19.3
End10.2
Second
5409
#3
39.10.0
39.1→39.1
Auto9.8
Teleop21.4
End7.8
red by 2.8
3683
#15
36.20.4
36.3→36.7
Auto8.5
Teleop20.4
End7.3
Third
2386
#21
18.00.0
18.1→18.0
Auto6.2
Teleop3.3
End8.6
blue by 7.2
610
#38
25.20.4
25.3→25.7
Auto7.9
Teleop12.2
End5.1