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Quarterfinal 4-12022 FIRST Ontario Provincial Championship
Red106
447641.2
403940.0
86524.0
Blue117
490738.4
540643.6
260931.0
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11212650100150200250106117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4476
#14
41.20.2
41.8→41.6
Auto12.0
Teleop21.4
End7.8
blue by 2.3
5406
#7
43.60.1
44.8→44.8
Auto12.7
Teleop19.7
End11.2
Second
4039
#4
40.00.2
40.5→40.3
Auto10.7
Teleop22.6
End6.7
red by 1.5
4907
#9
38.40.1
39.7→39.6
Auto8.8
Teleop20.1
End9.6
Third
865
#32
24.00.2
24.5→24.3
Auto5.8
Teleop7.7
End10.5
blue by 7.0
2609
#33
31.00.1
32.2→32.1
Auto9.0
Teleop10.7
End11.3