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Red26
37397.9
87655.4
356021.5
Blue59
686511.2
494630.1
686412.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363520304050602659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3560
#46
21.51.0
17.116.1
Auto7.9
Teleop9.4
End4.2
blue by 8.7
4946
#10
30.11.4
19.020.4
Auto6.7
Teleop11.8
End11.6
Second
3739
#61
7.91.0
7.86.8
Auto2.3
Teleop2.1
End3.5
blue by 4.4
6864
#26
12.21.4
7.28.7
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End4.5
Third
8765
#56
5.41.0
8.27.2
Auto2.7
Teleop2.3
End0.4
blue by 5.8
6865
#53
11.21.4
7.38.7
Auto1.2
Teleop7.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
46%Hangar oddsMissed31%Hangar oddsEarned