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Red63
86524.0
888414.3
490325.2
Blue99
467844.1
415223.2
75206.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions447102060801001206399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4903
#44
25.21.2
22.824.1
Auto6.4
Teleop6.0
End12.8
blue by 18.9
44.12.1
44.446.5
Auto14.6
Teleop19.3
End10.2
Second
865
#32
24.01.2
13.714.9
Auto5.8
Teleop7.7
End10.5
red by 0.8
4152
#36
23.22.1
17.019.1
Auto5.9
Teleop8.8
End8.4
Third
8884
#55
14.31.2
7.99.1
Auto4.4
Teleop6.8
End3.1
red by 7.4
7520
#30
6.92.1
1.94.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsEarned56%Hangar oddsEarned