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Red72
270619.0
401515.2
434325.0
Blue64
316112.0
61025.2
495115.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5046203040607080907264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4343
#17
25.01.4
21.022.5
Auto5.1
Teleop14.9
End5.0
blue by 0.2
610
#38
25.20.8
25.126.0
Auto7.9
Teleop12.2
End5.1
Second
2706
#20
19.01.4
14.816.3
Auto7.1
Teleop10.0
End1.8
red by 3.5
4951
#25
15.51.0
8.09.0
Auto6.0
Teleop4.7
End4.9
Third
4015
#50
15.21.4
10.712.2
Auto5.0
Teleop6.4
End3.8
red by 3.2
3161
#49
12.00.8
10.711.5
Auto3.8
Teleop2.0
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsEarned31%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsEarned33%Hangar oddsEarned