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Red118
748032.4
205661.6
219814.2
Blue102
220042.4
686511.2
260931.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions978460120140118102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.61.9
54.956.8
Auto17.2
Teleop32.5
End11.9
red by 19.3
2200
#12
42.41.1
41.943.1
Auto9.4
Teleop20.3
End12.7
Second
32.41.9
25.126.9
Auto9.9
Teleop18.1
End4.4
red by 1.4
2609
#33
31.01.1
30.131.3
Auto9.0
Teleop10.7
End11.3
Third
2198
#19
14.21.9
9.711.6
Auto5.4
Teleop5.0
End3.8
red by 3.0
6865
#53
11.21.1
8.79.9
Auto1.2
Teleop7.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
90%Cargo oddsEarned60%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsEarned77%Hangar oddsEarned