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Red43
87655.4
86524.0
7715.3
Blue48
46179.3
613522.0
888414.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304002060801004348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#32
24.00.7
14.915.6
Auto5.8
Teleop7.7
End10.5
red by 2.0
6135
#34
22.00.0
18.218.2
Auto6.6
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Second
8765
#56
5.40.7
7.27.9
Auto2.7
Teleop2.3
End0.4
blue by 8.8
8884
#55
14.30.0
9.19.1
Auto4.4
Teleop6.8
End3.1
Third
771
#43
5.30.7
6.97.5
Auto0.5
Teleop2.6
End2.2
blue by 4.0
4617
#41
9.30.0
8.78.7
Auto5.5
Teleop3.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed30%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsMissed