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Red81
540939.1
857411.8
415223.2
Blue70
132541.4
765912.0
37397.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65654050607080908170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.10.8
31.532.4
Auto9.8
Teleop21.4
End7.8
blue by 2.3
1325
#13
41.40.1
40.740.8
Auto11.9
Teleop17.5
End11.9
Second
4152
#36
23.20.8
19.119.9
Auto5.9
Teleop8.8
End8.4
red by 11.2
7659
#52
12.00.1
13.513.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.3
End1.0
Third
8574
#28
11.80.8
9.810.6
Auto4.3
Teleop4.7
End2.8
red by 3.9
3739
#61
7.90.1
6.86.9
Auto2.3
Teleop2.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
40%Cargo oddsMissed49%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
75%Hangar oddsEarned47%Hangar oddsEarned