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Red41
130520.9
697813.8
35439.9
Blue60
78119.9
37397.9
490325.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445002060801001204160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1305
#48
20.90.1
18.017.9
Auto7.3
Teleop8.6
End5.0
blue by 4.3
4903
#44
25.20.4
24.625.0
Auto6.4
Teleop6.0
End12.8
Second
6978
#58
13.80.1
15.715.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.9
End3.5
blue by 6.2
781
#6
19.90.4
14.314.7
Auto7.3
Teleop6.7
End5.9
Third
3543
#66
9.90.1
8.28.1
Auto3.4
Teleop3.9
End2.6
red by 2.0
3739
#61
7.90.4
7.17.5
Auto2.3
Teleop2.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed73%Hangar oddsEarned