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Red69
434325.0
888414.3
503613.6
Blue51
857411.8
808916.1
238618.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45443540505560656951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4343
#17
25.01.5
22.323.8
Auto5.1
Teleop14.9
End5.0
red by 7.0
2386
#21
18.00.4
16.116.5
Auto6.2
Teleop3.3
End8.6
Second
8884
#55
14.31.5
9.210.8
Auto4.4
Teleop6.8
End3.1
blue by 1.9
8089
#27
16.10.4
12.212.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.9
End4.6
Third
5036
#45
13.61.5
10.211.8
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End5.4
red by 1.9
8574
#28
11.80.4
13.113.4
Auto4.3
Teleop4.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsEarned25%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsEarned