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Red88
111444.4
415223.2
46179.3
Blue14
87359.2
88509.7
77579.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions872204060801001201408814

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.40.7
44.345.0
Auto13.0
Teleop22.6
End8.8
red by 34.7
8850
#54
9.71.0
12.411.4
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End3.2
Second
4152
#36
23.20.7
19.620.3
Auto5.9
Teleop8.8
End8.4
red by 13.8
7757
#47
9.41.0
10.59.5
Auto4.6
Teleop-0.2
End5.0
Third
4617
#41
9.30.7
9.610.3
Auto5.5
Teleop3.2
End0.7
red by 0.2
8735
#57
9.21.0
6.45.4
Auto2.9
Teleop4.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
43%Cargo oddsEarned9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
69%Hangar oddsEarned13%Hangar oddsMissed