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Red103
403940.0
447641.2
686511.2
Blue115
61025.2
490738.4
132541.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98107050150200250300350103115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4476
#14
41.20.7
39.840.4
Auto12.0
Teleop21.4
End7.8
blue by 0.1
1325
#13
41.40.5
41.341.8
Auto11.9
Teleop17.5
End11.9
Second
40.00.7
41.241.9
Auto10.7
Teleop22.6
End6.7
red by 1.5
38.40.5
35.035.5
Auto8.8
Teleop20.1
End9.6
Third
6865
#53
11.20.7
11.912.6
Auto1.2
Teleop7.2
End2.8
blue by 14.0
610
#38
25.20.5
23.123.6
Auto7.9
Teleop12.2
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsEarned91%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
71%Hangar oddsEarned88%Hangar oddsEarned