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Red60
91418.4
490325.2
872915.0
Blue27
87655.4
503613.6
765912.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions632802040801001206027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4903
#44
25.20.4
25.025.4
Auto6.4
Teleop6.0
End12.8
red by 11.6
5036
#45
13.60.2
11.811.5
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End5.4
Second
914
#42
18.40.4
16.617.0
Auto5.9
Teleop8.3
End4.2
red by 6.4
7659
#52
12.00.2
12.512.2
Auto3.7
Teleop7.3
End1.0
Third
8729
#31
15.00.4
12.713.1
Auto6.1
Teleop4.9
End3.9
red by 9.5
8765
#56
5.40.2
6.36.1
Auto2.7
Teleop2.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
36%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
71%Hangar oddsEarned10%Hangar oddsMissed