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Red64
260931.0
686412.2
401515.2
Blue85
888414.3
878914.9
503231.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585002040801001206485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2609
#33
31.00.2
28.829.0
Auto9.0
Teleop10.7
End11.3
blue by 0.6
5032
#16
31.61.7
25.327.0
Auto8.4
Teleop19.3
End3.9
Second
4015
#50
15.20.2
12.813.0
Auto5.0
Teleop6.4
End3.8
red by 0.3
8789
#37
14.91.7
11.713.4
Auto4.9
Teleop5.6
End4.4
Third
6864
#26
12.20.2
11.811.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End4.5
blue by 2.0
8884
#55
14.31.7
10.812.5
Auto4.4
Teleop6.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsMissed36%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
66%Hangar oddsEarned21%Hangar oddsMissed