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Red29
87313.1
37397.9
503112.1
Blue121
888414.3
220042.4
490738.4
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1510805015029121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5031
#40
12.10.2
12.112.3
Auto6.0
Teleop2.5
End3.6
blue by 30.3
2200
#12
42.42.1
40.742.8
Auto9.4
Teleop20.3
End12.7
Second
3739
#61
7.90.2
8.28.4
Auto2.3
Teleop2.1
End3.5
blue by 30.5
38.42.1
36.538.6
Auto8.8
Teleop20.1
End9.6
Third
8731
#63
3.10.2
5.45.7
Auto2.8
Teleop0.9
End-0.5
blue by 11.1
8884
#55
14.32.1
12.514.6
Auto4.4
Teleop6.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed90%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed53%Hangar oddsEarned