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Red77
219814.2
540939.1
686412.2
Blue47
687514.7
503613.6
201319.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions673802060801001201407747

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.11.2
36.637.8
Auto9.8
Teleop21.4
End7.8
red by 19.3
2013
#24
19.80.5
16.116.6
Auto5.1
Teleop5.8
End8.8
Second
2198
#19
14.21.2
10.311.5
Auto5.4
Teleop5.0
End3.8
blue by 0.5
6875
#59
14.70.5
11.411.9
Auto5.3
Teleop5.2
End4.2
Third
6864
#26
12.21.2
11.913.1
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End4.5
blue by 1.4
5036
#45
13.60.5
11.512.1
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
40%Cargo oddsEarned32%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
54%Hangar oddsEarned29%Hangar oddsEarned