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Red50
872912.4
808921.3
999622.6
Blue33
99916.5
132540.2
790214.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4263020801001201401605033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.2
14.815.0
Auto6.6
Teleop14.4
End1.5
blue by 17.6
40.22.3
37.835.5
Auto10.4
Teleop18.6
End11.2
Second
21.30.1
14.514.6
Auto6.9
Teleop8.5
End6.1
red by 6.6
7902
#11
14.72.3
13.411.1
Auto6.1
Teleop5.0
End3.8
Third
8729
#13
12.40.1
14.814.9
Auto7.7
Teleop4.0
End0.8
red by 5.8
9991
#19
6.53.8
12.48.5
Auto2.2
Teleop1.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed48%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed52%Hangar oddsMissed