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Red51
99985.5
99939.0
540646.1
Blue16
99928.4
13747.7
434318.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68290204060801001205116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.11.0
43.442.4
Auto13.7
Teleop22.2
End10.2
red by 28.0
4343
#24
18.11.5
19.317.8
Auto5.7
Teleop10.2
End2.3
Second
9993
#21
9.01.6
11.09.4
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End1.7
red by 0.6
9992
#14
8.42.5
7.95.3
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End-0.4
Third
9998
#18
5.51.6
7.35.7
Auto1.9
Teleop4.2
End-0.7
blue by 2.2
1374
#17
7.71.5
11.610.0
Auto3.9
Teleop1.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
53%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed