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Red34
434318.1
99998.1
999622.6
Blue112
415223.5
467844.2
403944.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3511905010015034112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.61.0
15.914.9
Auto6.6
Teleop14.4
End1.5
blue by 22.0
44.60.2
38.438.6
Auto9.5
Teleop26.1
End8.9
Second
4343
#24
18.10.6
16.415.8
Auto5.7
Teleop10.2
End2.3
blue by 26.1
44.20.2
42.843.0
Auto14.1
Teleop19.9
End10.3
Third
9999
#12
8.11.0
10.59.6
Auto3.2
Teleop3.5
End1.2
blue by 15.4
4152
#10
23.50.2
20.120.3
Auto6.3
Teleop8.8
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed86%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed95%Hangar oddsEarned