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Red52
503232.8
808921.3
99939.0
Blue16
872912.4
13747.7
790214.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions623402040801005216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.80.0
31.031.0
Auto10.0
Teleop21.4
End1.5
red by 18.1
7902
#11
14.71.5
10.48.9
Auto6.1
Teleop5.0
End3.8
Second
21.30.0
14.614.6
Auto6.9
Teleop8.5
End6.1
red by 9.0
8729
#13
12.41.5
14.913.5
Auto7.7
Teleop4.0
End0.8
Third
9993
#21
9.00.1
7.06.9
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End1.7
red by 1.3
1374
#17
7.71.5
8.67.2
Auto3.9
Teleop1.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
61%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsMissed