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Red74
99998.1
467844.2
999013.9
Blue78
808921.3
99985.5
748032.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72520204060801001207478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.20.2
46.346.5
Auto14.1
Teleop19.9
End10.3
red by 11.8
32.41.1
30.331.3
Auto9.4
Teleop20.2
End2.9
Second
9990
#16
13.90.3
10.010.3
Auto3.5
Teleop6.9
End3.4
blue by 7.5
21.31.1
17.218.2
Auto6.9
Teleop8.5
End6.1
Third
9999
#12
8.10.3
6.77.0
Auto3.2
Teleop3.5
End1.2
red by 2.6
9998
#18
5.51.4
6.47.8
Auto1.9
Teleop4.2
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsMissed37%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsEarned19%Hangar oddsMissed