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Red25
99939.0
999622.6
99974.5
Blue86
790214.7
368341.2
85748.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32700204060801001202586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.61.0
20.519.5
Auto6.6
Teleop14.4
End1.5
blue by 18.6
41.21.6
42.243.8
Auto10.7
Teleop22.6
End8.0
Second
9993
#21
9.01.1
7.96.8
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End1.7
blue by 5.7
7902
#11
14.71.6
10.512.0
Auto6.1
Teleop5.0
End3.8
Third
9997
#22
4.51.1
3.72.6
Auto2.2
Teleop2.9
End-0.7
blue by 3.9
8574
#20
8.51.6
5.57.1
Auto2.8
Teleop2.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed54%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
7%Hangar oddsMissed40%Hangar oddsEarned