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Red58
888419.8
99988.7
124135.0
Blue89
260931.8
132547.2
201312.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions611030501505889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.00.3
38.037.7
Auto14.3
Teleop18.5
End2.3
blue by 12.2
47.20.2
47.747.5
Auto13.2
Teleop23.1
End11.0
Second
19.80.3
15.114.8
Auto6.9
Teleop10.7
End2.3
blue by 12.1
31.80.2
30.730.5
Auto9.1
Teleop10.7
End12.1
Third
9998
#14
8.70.5
5.44.9
Auto2.0
Teleop3.5
End3.1
blue by 3.7
2013
#13
12.40.2
13.313.1
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
61%Cargo oddsMissed76%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed94%Hangar oddsEarned