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Red49
99959.0
999410.6
491726.8
Blue79
99962.4
490741.7
503610.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32680204060801001201404979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.5
23.624.0
Auto6.9
Teleop8.4
End11.7
blue by 14.9
41.71.0
38.139.0
Auto9.5
Teleop20.9
End11.3
Second
9994
#21
10.60.8
5.96.7
Auto5.7
Teleop4.2
End0.6
red by 0.7
5036
#16
10.01.0
9.710.6
Auto2.9
Teleop2.4
End4.8
Third
9.00.8
8.69.4
Auto3.5
Teleop1.8
End3.5
red by 6.7
9996
#18
2.41.6
2.03.6
Auto0.1
Teleop1.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed54%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
44%Hangar oddsEarned43%Hangar oddsEarned