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Red70
613515.4
124135.0
999410.6
Blue73
999215.9
99959.0
888419.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions683502060801001207073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.00.3
37.137.5
Auto14.3
Teleop18.5
End2.3
red by 15.3
19.81.2
15.917.1
Auto6.9
Teleop10.7
End2.3
Second
6135
#15
15.40.3
17.417.7
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End0.4
blue by 0.5
15.91.8
14.316.1
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End3.1
Third
9994
#21
10.60.5
6.67.1
Auto5.7
Teleop4.2
End0.6
red by 1.6
9.01.9
8.410.3
Auto3.5
Teleop1.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
67%Cargo oddsEarned7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed7%Hangar oddsMissed