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Red39
99908.5
13747.3
491726.8
Blue101
99988.7
490741.7
13346.8
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35640208010012039101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.1
24.324.4
Auto6.9
Teleop8.4
End11.7
blue by 14.9
41.71.5
39.140.6
Auto9.5
Teleop20.9
End11.3
Second
8.50.1
7.37.5
Auto3.8
Teleop1.1
End3.5
blue by 0.1
9998
#14
8.72.2
5.57.6
Auto2.0
Teleop3.5
End3.1
Third
1374
#10
7.30.1
6.16.2
Auto3.9
Teleop0.6
End2.9
red by 0.5
1334
#11
6.81.5
7.08.5
Auto5.2
Teleop1.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed20%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
47%Hangar oddsEarned28%Hangar oddsEarned